The total population of the World exceeds the mark of 8 billion. The birth of Vinice Mabansag, born today in the Philippines, was symbolically celebrated as the 8 billionth birth!
In a statement, the UN said the figure meant 1 billion people had been added to the global population in just 12 years…
After huge growth in the middle of the 20th century, population growth is already slowing down. It could take 15 years to reach nine billion, and the UN doesn’t expect to reach 10 billion until 2080.
Accurately counting the number of people in the world is difficult, and the United Nations admits that its tally could be exhausted in a year or two. But November 15 is the best estimate to cross the eight billion mark. In previous years, the United Nations has chosen babies to represent the fifth, sixth and seventh billion children –
So what can their stories tell us about world population growth? Minutes after he was born in July 1987, Matej Gaspar had a camera flashing on his tiny face and a gaggle of politicians surrounding his exhausted mother. Stuck in the back of a motorcade outside, British UN official Alex Marshall felt partly responsible for the immediate chaos he had brought to this small maternity unit on the outskirts of Zagreb.
“We basically looked at projections and dreamed up this idea that the world population would exceed five billion in 1987,” he says. “And the statistical day was July 11.” They decided to baptize the five billionth baby in the world. Thirty-five years later, the world’s five billionth baby is trying to forget her ceremonial entry into the world. His Facebook page suggests he lives in Zagreb, is happily married and works as a chemical engineer.
Since then, another three billion people have joined our global community. But the next 35 years will only see an increase of two billion – and then the global population is likely to plateau.
Outside Dhaka, Bangladesh, Sadia Sultana Oishi helps her mother peel potatoes for dinner. She is 11 years old and likes to be outside playing soccer, but her parents run a pretty tight ship. Oishee is the youngest of the family and the lucky charm. Born in 2011, she was one of the seven billion babies in the world.
The growth is a remarkable medical success, but the rate at which Bangladesh is expanding has slowed dramatically. As women become more educated, they choose to have smaller families.
This is critical to understanding where the world’s population may be headed. The three main institutions that project global population – the UN, the University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) and the IIASA-Wittgenstein Center in Vienna – differ on the gains they expect from education.
The United Nations says the global population will rise to 10.4 billion in the 2080s, but IHME and Wittgenstein believe it will happen sooner – between 2060 and 2070, below 10 billion. But these are just projections. Since Sadia Oishi, the seven billionth child, was born in 2011, so much has changed in the world that demographers are constantly surprised.
Most of the 2.4 billion people to be added before the global population peaks will be born in sub-Saharan Africa, according to the UN, marking a shift away from China and India.
And whether it’s food or water, batteries or gasoline, there will be less to go around as the global population grows. But how much they consume is equally important, suggesting policymakers can make a big difference by mandating a shift in consumption patterns.
Carbon emissions of the richest 1%, or about 63 million people, were more than double the emissions of the poorest half of humanity between 1990 and 2015, according to a 2020 analysis by the Stockholm Environment Institute and non-profit Oxfam International.
Resource pressure will be especially daunting in African nations, where populations are expected to boom, experts say. These are also among the countries most vulnerable to climate impacts, and most in need of climate finance.
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